Envisioning Tourism in 2030 & Beyond is a new report urging tourism and transportation to take full account of greenhouse gas emissions.
In so doing, this could mean:
The report, published by the Travel Foundation with the Centre of Expertise in Leisure, Tourism and Hospitality, Breda University of Applied Sciences, the European Tourism Futures Institute, and the Netherlands Board of Tourism and Conventions, models the impact of different interventions. This includes technological advances, electrification, and alternative fuels. The report shows these could have the greatest impact on reducing CO2 in the decades ahead. The aim of the report is to provide signatories of the global initiative, the Glasgow Declaration on Climate Action in Tourism, with a positive vision of tourism which achieves net zero by 2050.
The researchers describe a global scenario where the shape of tourism shifts, as future growth comes from the areas of tourism most ready to decarbonize. For instance, a traveler might take the same number or more trips a year, but they will typically be traveling shorter distances, opening up opportunities for businesses to target closer-proximity travelers. As well as flying, they will use more rail, electric car, coach and ferry options for their holidays. Those who travel long-haul will take fewer long-distance trips but are more likely to stay longer, in energy efficient accommodation.
Chief among the report’s recommendations is the need to include all emissions in tourism’s decarbonization efforts. With few exceptions, international aviation emissions are not included in national Paris Agreement commitments, which distorts decision-making and disincentivizes investment in the most effective solutions. The report also calls for a global plan to optimize tourism’s growth and distribution flows in a way that is equitable and compatible with climate targets, given that limits on the number of flights are needed. Without this, the report modelling shows that emissions from longest-haul flights will quadruple by 2050, accounting for 41% of tourism’s total emissions, yet only 4% of trips. In addition, alternative forms of transport such as rail, ferry, coach and electric cars will require major investment. The report highlights implications for each industry sector to consider, including aviation, rail, tour operators, accommodation providers, tourist boards and the car and ferry industries, as well as the need to influence other key sectors which tourism relies on.
Leaders from the travel sector have supported the publication of Envisioning Tourism in 2030 and the call for global coordination to change how we travel and accelerate net-zero tourism:
Verónica Kunze, Undersecretary of Tourism, Government of Chile
Dr Susanne Etti, Global Environmental Impact Manager, Intrepid Travel
Megan Morikawa, Global Director of Sustainability Office, Iberostar
Shaun Mann, Senior Tourism Specialist, World Bank Group
Christina Leala Gale, Pacific Tourism Organization (SPTO).
Sofya Muhrer-Muromets, Sustainability Lead, TourRadar
Tessa Lee, Senior Manager, Climate and Sustainability, Expedia Group
Alix Farr, Sustainability Lead, Skyscanner
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